Deportivo Alaves II 2-1 Real Sociedad III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.3pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.9pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.24/0.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.08
-18% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses 10.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Sociedad III
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.65 xG 1.18
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
310 Passes 187
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.12.2024 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
20.01.2024 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
10.09.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
26.02.2023 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
09.10.2022 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
2-1
AWAY Real Sociedad III
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Real Sociedad III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves II edged past Real Sociedad III 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Alaves II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 49% of the ball to Real Sociedad III's 51%, shots finished 21-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 1.20 for Real Sociedad III.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Real Sociedad III?

Deportivo Alaves II 2-1 Real Sociedad III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Real Sociedad III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 51%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad III 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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