Basel II 0-2 Lugano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+2.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano II EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.57/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.60
-25% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lugano II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
19.10.2024 Lugano II Lugano II 1-2 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
04.11.2023 Basel II Basel II 3-0 HT 0-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Basel II vs Lugano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano II got the better of Basel II 2-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Basel II carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Basel II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Basel II and 0.50 for Lugano II.

What was the final score of Basel II vs Lugano II?

Basel II 0-2 Lugano II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel II vs Lugano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Basel II 55%, draw 22%, Lugano II 23%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Basel II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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