Bavois 1-1 Baden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bavois EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Baden EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.72/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.91
+2% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bavois
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Baden
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
19.10.2024 Baden Baden 1-0 Bavois İSV1Y
01.04.2023 Baden Baden 0-1 HT 0-0 Bavois İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bavois
1-1
AWAY Baden
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bavois vs Baden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bavois and Baden shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Bavois at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bavois had 62% of the ball to Baden's 38%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bavois and 0.50 for Baden.

What was the final score of Bavois vs Baden?

Bavois 1-1 Baden in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bavois vs Baden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bavois win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bavois 45%, draw 23%, Baden 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bavois) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bavois) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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