Inter Milano (K) 3-0 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.21
Over Pick
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
34%
4-5
28%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.03/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.37
+24% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
241 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.4
20.5 Crosses 29.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Milano (K)
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Roma (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.26 xG 1.72
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
323 Passes 326
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2025 Roma (K) Roma (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
12.01.2025 Roma (K) Roma (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
05.10.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
05.05.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 4-3 HT 2-3 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
29.03.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
20.01.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Milano (K)
3-0
AWAY Roma (K)
2.10 xG 0.63
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
231 Passes 375
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Milano (K) vs Roma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Milano (K) ran out comfortable winners over Roma (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Roma (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Inter Milano (K) had 41% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 59%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.10 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Inter Milano (K) and 1.67 for Roma (K).

What was the final score of Inter Milano (K) vs Roma (K)?

Inter Milano (K) 3-0 Roma (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Milano (K) vs Roma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Inter Milano (K) 31%, draw 26%, Roma (K) 43%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Roma (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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