Sassuolo (K) 3-0 Como (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
2.18
Over
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
44%
4-5
23%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Como (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.75/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.78
+47% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +66%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
11.0 Crosses 19.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Como (K)
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.08 xG 1.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
274 Passes 308
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2025 Como (K) Como (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
25.01.2025 Como (K) Como (K) 0-3 HT 0-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
20.10.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-4 HT 1-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
28.01.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
21.10.2023 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
3-0
AWAY Como (K)
3.82 xG 1.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
217 Passes 320
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Como (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) swept aside Como (K) 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sassuolo (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 43% of the ball to Como (K)'s 57%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 3.82 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Como (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Sassuolo (K) and 1.80 for Como (K).

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Como (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 3-0 Como (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Como (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 42%, draw 25%, Como (K) 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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