SGV Freiberg 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
24%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.5pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.0pp
24%
Away Win
33%
-8.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt II EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.00/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.23
-37% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
319 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SGV Freiberg
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
19.10.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt II Eintracht Frankfurt II 1-1 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
18.11.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt II Eintracht Frankfurt II 1-1 HT 1-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt II Eintracht Frankfurt II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Frankfurt II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg nicked a narrow win over Eintracht Frankfurt II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SGV Freiberg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SGV Freiberg and 0.67 for Eintracht Frankfurt II.

What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Frankfurt II?

SGV Freiberg 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt II in the Germany - Regional League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Frankfurt II?

Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 44%, draw 31%, Eintracht Frankfurt II 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SGV Freiberg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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