Babelsberg 1-2 Hertha Berlin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.79/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.99
+7% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-4 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
15.03.2024 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-2 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
29.09.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-2 HT 1-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
04.02.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
12.08.2022 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-1 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
30.01.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 3-0 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs Hertha Berlin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin II nicked a narrow win over Babelsberg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Babelsberg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Babelsberg had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Babelsberg and 0.50 for Hertha Berlin II.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs Hertha Berlin II?

Babelsberg 1-2 Hertha Berlin II in the Germany - Regional League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs Hertha Berlin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babelsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 45%, draw 29%, Hertha Berlin II 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Babelsberg) ✗ Under 2.5
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