Carl Zeiss Jena 1-2 FSV Zwickau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.63/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.52
-3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FSV Zwickau
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.13 xG 1.43
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
326 Passes 175
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 1-1 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
28.04.2024 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 1-2 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
19.12.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-5 HT 1-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
10.02.2020 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-1 HT 0-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau AL3
04.08.2019 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 2-0 HT 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena AL3
17.02.2019 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 2-0 HT 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena AL3
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena vs FSV Zwickau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau nicked a narrow win over Carl Zeiss Jena 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Carl Zeiss Jena at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FSV Zwickau led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena and 2.00 for FSV Zwickau.

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena vs FSV Zwickau?

Carl Zeiss Jena 1-2 FSV Zwickau in the Germany - Regional League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena vs FSV Zwickau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena 44%, draw 29%, FSV Zwickau 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✗ Under 2.5
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