FSV Zwickau 1-2 Carl Zeiss Jena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.70/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.11
+16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Zwickau
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
170 Passes 314
61% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.12.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-5 HT 1-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
10.02.2020 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-1 HT 0-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau AL3
04.08.2019 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 2-0 HT 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena AL3
17.02.2019 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 2-0 HT 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena AL3
27.08.2018 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-1 HT 0-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau AL3
31.03.2018 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-1 HT 1-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau AL3
POST-MATCH FSV Zwickau vs Carl Zeiss Jena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena squeezed past FSV Zwickau 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Carl Zeiss Jena found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FSV Zwickau and 1.33 for Carl Zeiss Jena.

What was the final score of FSV Zwickau vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

FSV Zwickau 1-2 Carl Zeiss Jena in the Germany - Regional League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Zwickau vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FSV Zwickau 34%, draw 27%, Carl Zeiss Jena 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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