Teutonia Hamburg 2-3 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
52%
Away Win
50%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 55%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.56/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.39
+24% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teutonia Hamburg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.02.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-0 HT 0-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
05.02.2023 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 2-1 HT 2-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
17.08.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-1 HT 0-1 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
24.10.2021 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 2-2 HT 2-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
18.08.2021 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-0 HT 0-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
13.09.2020 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teutonia Hamburg
2-3
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Teutonia Hamburg vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck squeezed past Teutonia Hamburg 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Phönix Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Teutonia Hamburg had 51% of the ball to Phönix Lübeck's 49%, shots finished 8-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Teutonia Hamburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Teutonia Hamburg and 0.67 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of Teutonia Hamburg vs Phönix Lübeck?

Teutonia Hamburg 2-3 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teutonia Hamburg vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated an Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Teutonia Hamburg 22%, draw 27%, Phönix Lübeck 52%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✗ BTTS No
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