Viktoria Berlin 3-2 Hertha Berlin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
0.76/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.82
-61% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Berlin
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
12.02.2023 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 2-3 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
20.08.2022 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 3-2 HT 3-2 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
23.11.2019 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 0-1 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
08.11.2015 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 5-1 HT 3-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
15.03.2015 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 1-3 HT 0-2 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Berlin
3-2
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Viktoria Berlin vs Hertha Berlin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Berlin squeezed past Hertha Berlin II 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Viktoria Berlin as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Viktoria Berlin had 57% of the ball to Hertha Berlin II's 43%, shots finished 19-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Viktoria Berlin and 1.83 for Hertha Berlin II.

What was the final score of Viktoria Berlin vs Hertha Berlin II?

Viktoria Berlin 3-2 Hertha Berlin II in the Germany - Regional League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Berlin vs Hertha Berlin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Berlin 55%, draw 21%, Hertha Berlin II 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Berlin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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