Eintracht Norderstedt 5-1 Kilia Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.74
Over 2.5
53%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
70%
-6.9pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
33%
+13.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
67%
-13.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.7pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Norderstedt EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilia Kiel EU Bookmakers 16%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.45/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.61
-40% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Norderstedt
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kilia Kiel
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Kilia Kiel 1-3 HT 1-1 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Eintracht Norderstedt vs Kilia Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Norderstedt swept aside Kilia Kiel 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Eintracht Norderstedt as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Eintracht Norderstedt vs Kilia Kiel?

Eintracht Norderstedt 5-1 Kilia Kiel in the Germany - Regional League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Norderstedt vs Kilia Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Norderstedt win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Norderstedt 63%, draw 23%, Kilia Kiel 14%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Norderstedt), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Norderstedt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
28 Apr 2024
14:00 Berliner AK 07 vs Greifswalder SV Analysis →
14:00 FSV Zwickau vs Carl Zeiss Jena Analysis →
14:00 Viktoria Berlin vs Hertha Berlin II Analysis →
15:00 Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Mönchengladbach II Analysis →
15:00 Aalen vs FSV Frankfurt Analysis →
15:00 Teutonia Hamburg vs Phönix Lübeck Analysis →