Aalen 1-3 FSV Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.46/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.17
-10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FSV Frankfurt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 3-0 HT 2-0 Aalen Aalen ALMBÖL
19.11.2022 Aalen Aalen 2-1 HT 1-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
26.03.2022 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Aalen Aalen ALMBÖL
02.10.2021 Aalen Aalen 1-0 HT 1-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
01.05.2021 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 0-2 HT 0-1 Aalen Aalen ALMBÖL
15.12.2020 Aalen Aalen 1-2 HT 0-1 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalen
1-3
AWAY FSV Frankfurt
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Aalen vs FSV Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Frankfurt got the better of Aalen 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 37% — and on the day FSV Frankfurt made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Aalen had 56% of the ball to FSV Frankfurt's 44%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aalen and 1.00 for FSV Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Aalen vs FSV Frankfurt?

Aalen 1-3 FSV Frankfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalen vs FSV Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an FSV Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aalen 33%, draw 29%, FSV Frankfurt 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FSV Frankfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FSV Frankfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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