Berliner AK 07 0-1 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.51
Over 2.5
47%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.81
No
61%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+9.6pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.2pp
56%
Away Win
70%
-14.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
36%
+17.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
64%
-17.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.4pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Berliner AK 07 EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 75%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.65/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.46
-31% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +99%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Berliner AK 07
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 5-0 HT 4-0 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 ALMBÖL
29.01.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 3-0 HT 0-0 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 2-0 HT 1-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Berliner AK 07
0-1
AWAY Greifswalder SV
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Berliner AK 07 vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV nicked a narrow win over Berliner AK 07 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Greifswalder SV as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Berliner AK 07 had 36% of the ball to Greifswalder SV's 64%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Berliner AK 07 and 2.67 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of Berliner AK 07 vs Greifswalder SV?

Berliner AK 07 0-1 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Berliner AK 07 vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Berliner AK 07 22%, draw 22%, Greifswalder SV 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greifswalder SV), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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