Phönix Lübeck 1-0 Teutonia Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.0pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +16%
1.98/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.56
+9% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2023 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 2-1 HT 2-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
17.08.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-1 HT 0-1 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
24.10.2021 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 2-2 HT 2-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
18.08.2021 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-0 HT 0-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
13.09.2020 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phönix Lübeck
1-0
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Teutonia Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck nicked a narrow win over Teutonia Hamburg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Phönix Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Phönix Lübeck had 56% of the ball to Teutonia Hamburg's 44%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Teutonia Hamburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.40 for Teutonia Hamburg.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Teutonia Hamburg?

Phönix Lübeck 1-0 Teutonia Hamburg in the Germany - Regional League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Teutonia Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 48%, draw 21%, Teutonia Hamburg 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phönix Lübeck), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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