Lokomotive Leipzig 4-1 Meuselwitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.66
No
60%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
56%
-15.8pp
60%
BTTS No
44%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.74/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.43
+2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Meuselwitz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 3-2 HT 0-2 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
28.04.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-3 HT 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
12.11.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-1 HT 0-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
06.04.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 HT 0-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
01.10.2021 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 0-4 HT 0-3 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
28.10.2020 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 HT 1-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
4-1
AWAY Meuselwitz
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotive Leipzig vs Meuselwitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig cruised past Meuselwitz 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lokomotive Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotive Leipzig had 46% of the ball to Meuselwitz's 54%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotive Leipzig had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lokomotive Leipzig and 0.83 for Meuselwitz.

What was the final score of Lokomotive Leipzig vs Meuselwitz?

Lokomotive Leipzig 4-1 Meuselwitz in the Germany - Regional League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Meuselwitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lokomotive Leipzig 45%, draw 27%, Meuselwitz 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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