Altglienicke 2-2 Babelsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 24%
-22% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.78/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.87
-9% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altglienicke
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Babelsberg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2023 Altglienicke Altglienicke 1-2 HT 1-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
19.08.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-2 HT 0-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
08.04.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-2 HT 0-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
16.10.2021 Altglienicke Altglienicke 1-1 HT 1-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
23.09.2020 Altglienicke Altglienicke 1-1 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
20.09.2019 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-4 HT 0-4 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altglienicke
2-2
AWAY Babelsberg
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Altglienicke vs Babelsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altglienicke and Babelsberg shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Altglienicke at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Altglienicke had 48% of the ball to Babelsberg's 52%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Altglienicke and 1.33 for Babelsberg.

What was the final score of Altglienicke vs Babelsberg?

Altglienicke 2-2 Babelsberg in the Germany - Regional League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altglienicke vs Babelsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altglienicke win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Altglienicke 51%, draw 24%, Babelsberg 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Altglienicke) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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