Babelsberg 1-2 Hertha Berlin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +6%
1.63/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.78
-17% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-2 HT 1-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
04.02.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
12.08.2022 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-1 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
30.01.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 3-0 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
22.09.2021 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-3 HT 0-3 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
28.09.2019 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 3-3 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Babelsberg
1-2
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs Hertha Berlin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin II squeezed past Babelsberg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Babelsberg at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Babelsberg had 61% of the ball to Hertha Berlin II's 39%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Babelsberg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Babelsberg and 0.67 for Hertha Berlin II.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs Hertha Berlin II?

Babelsberg 1-2 Hertha Berlin II in the Germany - Regional League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs Hertha Berlin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babelsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 48%, draw 26%, Hertha Berlin II 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Babelsberg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Babelsberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
15 Mar 2024
19:30 Schalke 04 II vs Paderborn 07 II Analysis →
20:30 Würzburger Kickers vs Buchbach Analysis →
21:00 Lehnerz vs Hessen Kassel Analysis →
21:00 Aalen vs Stuttgarter Kickers Analysis →
21:00 Eimsbütteler TV vs Hamburg II Analysis →
21:00 FSV Zwickau vs Berliner AK 07 Analysis →