Lehnerz 1-1 Hessen Kassel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hessen Kassel EU Bookmakers 33%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.09/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.78
+23% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lehnerz
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hessen Kassel
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.09.2023 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 2-1 HT 1-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
19.04.2023 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-1 HT 0-1 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
16.09.2022 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 0-3 HT 0-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lehnerz
1-1
AWAY Hessen Kassel
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Lehnerz vs Hessen Kassel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lehnerz and Hessen Kassel couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lehnerz at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lehnerz had 60% of the ball to Hessen Kassel's 40%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lehnerz and 1.00 for Hessen Kassel.

What was the final score of Lehnerz vs Hessen Kassel?

Lehnerz 1-1 Hessen Kassel in the Germany - Regional League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lehnerz vs Hessen Kassel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lehnerz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lehnerz 45%, draw 27%, Hessen Kassel 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lehnerz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lehnerz) ✓ Under 2.5
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