Würzburger Kickers 1-1 Buchbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.16
Draw
14%
7.13
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.89
Over 2.5
69%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
54%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
82%
-5.7pp
14%
Draw
11%
+2.5pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+3.2pp
31%
Under 2.5
31%
+0.3pp
69%
Over 2.5
69%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.9pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Würzburger Kickers EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Buchbach EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.18/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.47
+21% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Würzburger Kickers
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Buchbach
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
01.09.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 0-1 HT 0-0 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
01.04.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 0-0 HT 0-0 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
10.09.2022 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 7-1 HT 2-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
29.07.2014 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 5-0 HT 3-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Würzburger Kickers
1-1
AWAY Buchbach
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Würzburger Kickers vs Buchbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Würzburger Kickers and Buchbach couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Würzburger Kickers at 76% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Würzburger Kickers had 66% of the ball to Buchbach's 34%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Würzburger Kickers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Würzburger Kickers and 0.25 for Buchbach.

What was the final score of Würzburger Kickers vs Buchbach?

Würzburger Kickers 1-1 Buchbach in the Germany - Regional League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Würzburger Kickers vs Buchbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Würzburger Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Würzburger Kickers 76%, draw 14%, Buchbach 10%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Würzburger Kickers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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