FSV Zwickau 2-0 Berliner AK 07 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
56%
+2.4pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.5pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Berliner AK 07 EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +17%
2.25/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.52
+15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Zwickau
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Berliner AK 07
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
01.10.2023 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 2-1 HT 1-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
04.10.2015 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 1-1 HT 1-0 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 ALMBÖL
15.03.2015 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 3-0 HT 2-0 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 ALMBÖL
31.08.2014 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 2-3 HT 1-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
30.03.2014 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 0-2 HT 0-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FSV Zwickau
2-0
AWAY Berliner AK 07
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FSV Zwickau vs Berliner AK 07
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau got the better of Berliner AK 07 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FSV Zwickau as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FSV Zwickau had 39% of the ball to Berliner AK 07's 61%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FSV Zwickau had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FSV Zwickau and 1.00 for Berliner AK 07.

What was the final score of FSV Zwickau vs Berliner AK 07?

FSV Zwickau 2-0 Berliner AK 07 in the Germany - Regional League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Zwickau vs Berliner AK 07?

Before kick-off our model rated a FSV Zwickau win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split FSV Zwickau 59%, draw 18%, Berliner AK 07 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FSV Zwickau) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FSV Zwickau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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