Newcastle Jets (K) 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 19 Apr 2025

Newcastle Jets (K)
1-2 HT 0-0
Central Coast Mariners (K)
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Newcastle Jets (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
41%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-8.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.5pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle Jets (K) v Central Coast Mariners (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.35/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/0.23
-37% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
18.1 Crosses 14.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.4

Newcastle Jets (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
2.00 xG 2.58
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
326 Passes 222
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.02.2025 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 5-1 HT 2-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
28.01.2024 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW

Newcastle Jets (K) 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
1-2
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
0.51 xG 3.31
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 33
3 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 7
191 Passes 305
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 48
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) squeezed past Newcastle Jets (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Central Coast Mariners (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 41% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 59%, shots finished 10-33, expected goals 0.51 to 3.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Central Coast Mariners (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Newcastle Jets (K) and 3.50 for Central Coast Mariners (K).

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Newcastle Jets (K) 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 34%, draw 24%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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