The Strongest 3-2 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.6pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.9pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The Strongest EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +10%
1.58/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.29
+1% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 73%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
19.6 Crosses 12.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The Strongest
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Aurora
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.11
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
350 Passes 250
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2024 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
28.07.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 1-1 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
05.11.2023 Aurora Aurora 0-3 HT 0-2 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
10.08.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 0-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLPLK
07.05.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 2-2 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
06.10.2022 Aurora Aurora 0-0 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The Strongest
3-2
AWAY Aurora
1.38 xG 0.73
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
440 Passes 236
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH The Strongest vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Strongest edged past Aurora 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had The Strongest as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, The Strongest had 62% of the ball to Aurora's 38%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 1.38 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aurora led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for The Strongest and 0.83 for Aurora.

What was the final score of The Strongest vs Aurora?

The Strongest 3-2 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The Strongest vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split The Strongest 50%, draw 28%, Aurora 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The Strongest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The Strongest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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