Belouizdad 3-2 Mostaganem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
3.05
No
57%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.31
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.79
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-11.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
29%
+14.3pp
57%
BTTS No
71%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belouizdad EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.89/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.12
+13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +40%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
413 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belouizdad
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Mostaganem
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Mostaganem Mostaganem 0-2 HT 0-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
12.04.2024 Belouizdad Belouizdad 3-3 HT 1-1 Mostaganem Mostaganem CZYRK
POST-MATCH Belouizdad vs Mostaganem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belouizdad squeezed past Mostaganem 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Belouizdad as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Belouizdad had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Belouizdad and 1.50 for Mostaganem.

What was the final score of Belouizdad vs Mostaganem?

Belouizdad 3-2 Mostaganem in the Algeria - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belouizdad vs Mostaganem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belouizdad win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Belouizdad 59%, draw 25%, Mostaganem 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belouizdad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belouizdad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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