USM Alger 0-1 JS Kabylie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.64
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY JS Kabylie EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.30/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.02
-2% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
210 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
1W-3D-2L
AWAY JS Kabylie
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
06.05.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 2-2 HT 2-1 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie CZYR
07.10.2023 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
05.05.2023 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
06.09.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 1-0 HT 0-0 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie CZYR
01.04.2022 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie 1-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
0-1
AWAY JS Kabylie
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs JS Kabylie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JS Kabylie squeezed past USM Alger 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was USM Alger at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, USM Alger had 50% of the ball to JS Kabylie's 50%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JS Kabylie led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for USM Alger and 0.83 for JS Kabylie.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs JS Kabylie?

USM Alger 0-1 JS Kabylie in the Algeria - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs JS Kabylie?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 48%, draw 28%, JS Kabylie 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (USM Alger) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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