Paris FC vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paris FC v Bastia — Team-Based Signals
Paris FC vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Bastia
FR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Paris FC
FR2
2-1
HT 2-0
Paris FC
FR2
Paris FC 1-0 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics
Paris FC edged past Bastia 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Paris FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Paris FC had 51% of the ball to Bastia's 49%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.90 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Paris FC and 1.00 for Bastia.
What was the final score of Paris FC vs Bastia?
Paris FC 1-0 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Bastia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 40%, draw 29%, Bastia 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.