Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
4.34
6+ Goals
8%
21.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.55
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.5
X/1
19%
4.3
X/2
8%
8.27
X/X
12%
4.44
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
13%
6.92
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
15.8
Value flag · 2/X at 15.8 — our 10% vs market 3.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.60/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.46
+3% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gangwon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
501 Passes 333
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.11.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
13.09.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
19.05.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
13.04.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 4-0 HT 2-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
12.08.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 2-0 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
09.05.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
1-2
AWAY Gangwon
72% Ball Possession 28%
17 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 0
440 Passes 119
82% Pass Accuracy 57%
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon nicked a narrow win over Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ulsan Hyundai at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 72% of the ball to Gangwon's 28%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 0.67 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon?

Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 46%, draw 27%, Gangwon 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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