FC Seoul 1-2 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
17%
5.61
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.0
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
15%
4.43
X/2
15%
7.13
X/X
12%
3.79
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
7%
6.18
2/X
9%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
2.29/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/0.54
+0% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.9 Crosses 11.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Gwangju
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
428 Passes 349
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 3-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
02.06.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-2 HT 1-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
02.03.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
17.09.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
09.05.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 3-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
05.03.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
1-2
AWAY Gwangju
53% Ball Possession 47%
29 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
324 Passes 292
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju nicked a narrow win over FC Seoul 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Seoul at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Seoul had 53% of the ball to Gwangju's 47%, shots finished 29-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Seoul and 1.50 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Gwangju?

FC Seoul 1-2 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 45%, draw 27%, Gwangju 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
19 Apr 2025
08:00 Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon Analysis →
10:30 Anyang vs Suwon City Analysis →
10:30 Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen Analysis →