Gimcheon Sangmu 0-2 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 27% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.79
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
22%
4.83
X/2
8%
7.57
X/X
11%
4.66
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
17%
5.61
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.54/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.00
+8% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +41%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 9.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.93 xG 1.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
378 Passes 271
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
25.06.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
30.04.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
29.10.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-4 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
26.10.2022 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
26.09.2021 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
0-2
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
357 Passes 381
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen beat Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gimcheon Sangmu at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 49% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 51%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.50 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen?

Gimcheon Sangmu 0-2 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 43%, draw 24%, Daejeon Citizen 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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