Gareji 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.78
Over Pick
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+7.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gareji EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gareji
1-1
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gareji vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gareji and Torpedo Kutaisi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Kutaisi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gareji had 35% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 65%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Gareji vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Gareji 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gareji vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gareji 30%, draw 27%, Torpedo Kutaisi 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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