Samgurali vs Telavi Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Samgurali v Telavi — Team-Based Signals
Samgurali vs Telavi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Samgurali
GUR
0-1
HT 0-0
Telavi
GUR
Samgurali 7-0 Telavi — Actual Match Statistics
Samgurali swept aside Telavi 7-0. Half-time: 5-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Samgurali as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.
On the day, Samgurali had 55% of the ball to Telavi's 45%, shots finished 22-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Telavi led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Samgurali and 1.33 for Telavi.
What was the final score of Samgurali vs Telavi?
Samgurali 7-0 Telavi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Telavi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 45%, draw 26%, Telavi 28%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samgurali), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.