Telavi 2-1 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
24%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.0pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
30%
-6.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telavi EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
0.86/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.58
-37% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telavi
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Samgurali
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 2-1 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
21.10.2023 Telavi Telavi 2-1 HT 2-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
12.08.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 0-1 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
06.05.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
08.03.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 1-0 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
15.10.2022 Samgurali Samgurali 2-0 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telavi
2-1
AWAY Samgurali
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Telavi vs Samgurali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telavi edged past Samgurali 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Telavi as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Telavi had 35% of the ball to Samgurali's 65%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samgurali led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Telavi and 1.17 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Telavi vs Samgurali?

Telavi 2-1 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telavi vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telavi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Telavi 43%, draw 33%, Samgurali 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Telavi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Telavi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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