Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-7.4pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.4pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
1.96/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.01
-4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gagra
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
29.10.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-2 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
20.08.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 4-1 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
10.05.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
12.03.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 3-1 HT 2-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
11.11.2022 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
2-1
AWAY Gagra
62% Ball Possession 38%
28 Total Shots 9
14 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi squeezed past Gagra 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 62% of the ball to Gagra's 38%, shots finished 28-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.67 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?

Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 57%, draw 20%, Gagra 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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