Gagra vs Saburtalo Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gagra v Saburtalo — Team-Based Signals
Gagra vs Saburtalo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Saburtalo
GUR
Gagra
GUR
Gagra 0-1 Saburtalo — Actual Match Statistics
Saburtalo edged past Gagra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Gagra had 47% of the ball to Saburtalo's 53%, shots finished 10-19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gagra and 2.00 for Saburtalo.
What was the final score of Gagra vs Saburtalo?
Gagra 0-1 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gagra vs Saburtalo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gagra 24%, draw 30%, Saburtalo 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.