Saburtalo vs Gagra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Saburtalo v Gagra — Team-Based Signals
Saburtalo vs Gagra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Saburtalo
GUR
Gagra
GUR
1-2
HT 0-2
Saburtalo
GUR
Gagra
GUR
Saburtalo 1-1 Gagra — Actual Match Statistics
Saburtalo and Gagra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Saburtalo at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Saburtalo had 68% of the ball to Gagra's 32%, shots finished 24-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Saburtalo and 1.33 for Gagra.
What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Gagra?
Saburtalo 1-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Gagra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 54%, draw 25%, Gagra 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saburtalo), Over 2.5 went the other way.