Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.51/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.43
-5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Samgurali
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.05.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 1-3 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
11.04.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 3-1 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
03.11.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
27.08.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
14.05.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-3 HT 0-2 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
19.03.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
1-0
AWAY Samgurali
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi squeezed past Samgurali 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 36% of the ball to Samgurali's 64%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.83 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?

Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 41%, draw 27%, Samgurali 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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