Samtredia 2-1 Telavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
23%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.6pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-7.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samtredia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Telavi EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.08/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.73
-5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samtredia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Telavi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2024 Telavi Telavi 0-0 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
11.04.2024 Samtredia Samtredia 1-2 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
02.10.2023 Telavi Telavi 1-1 HT 1-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
06.08.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 0-2 HT 0-1 Telavi Telavi GUR
26.04.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
25.02.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 1-0 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samtredia
2-1
AWAY Telavi
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Samtredia vs Telavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samtredia nicked a narrow win over Telavi 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Samtredia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Samtredia had 52% of the ball to Telavi's 48%, shots finished 18-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Samtredia and 0.83 for Telavi.

What was the final score of Samtredia vs Telavi?

Samtredia 2-1 Telavi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samtredia vs Telavi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Telavi win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Samtredia 31%, draw 33%, Telavi 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Telavi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Telavi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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