Samgurali 1-3 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.5pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 50%
+17% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.17/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.82
+2% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.04.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 3-1 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
03.11.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
27.08.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
14.05.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-3 HT 0-2 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
19.03.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
06.11.2022 Samgurali Samgurali 2-2 HT 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
1-3
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi got the better of Samgurali 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Samgurali had 52% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 48%, shots finished 8-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Samgurali and 1.00 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Samgurali 1-3 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 34%, draw 25%, Torpedo Kutaisi 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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