Gagra vs Saburtalo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gagra v Saburtalo — Team-Based Signals
Gagra vs Saburtalo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Saburtalo
GUR
Gagra
GUR
1-2
HT 0-2
Saburtalo
GUR
Gagra 1-2 Saburtalo — Actual Match Statistics
Saburtalo squeezed past Gagra 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Gagra had 45% of the ball to Saburtalo's 55%, shots finished 5-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gagra and 2.00 for Saburtalo.
What was the final score of Gagra vs Saburtalo?
Gagra 1-2 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gagra vs Saburtalo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gagra 28%, draw 25%, Saburtalo 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.