Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Samgurali v Torpedo Kutaisi — Team-Based Signals
Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Samgurali
GUR
0-0
HT 0-0
Torpedo Kutaisi
GUR
1-3
HT 0-2
Samgurali
GUR
Samgurali 2-1 Torpedo Kutaisi — Actual Match Statistics
Samgurali squeezed past Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Kutaisi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Samgurali had 37% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 63%, shots finished 5-16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Samgurali and 1.33 for Torpedo Kutaisi.
What was the final score of Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Samgurali 2-1 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 32%, draw 25%, Torpedo Kutaisi 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) went the other way.