Samgurali vs Telavi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Samgurali v Telavi — Team-Based Signals
Samgurali vs Telavi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Samgurali
GUR
0-1
HT 0-0
Telavi
GUR
0-1
HT 0-0
Samgurali
GUR
1-0
HT 1-0
Telavi
GUR
Samgurali 2-2 Telavi — Actual Match Statistics
Samgurali and Telavi shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Samgurali at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Samgurali had 66% of the ball to Telavi's 34%, shots finished 18-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Samgurali and 1.00 for Telavi.
What was the final score of Samgurali vs Telavi?
Samgurali 2-2 Telavi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Telavi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 52%, draw 26%, Telavi 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.