Gagra 0-3 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
55%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
55%
Away Win
55%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 58%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.90/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.67
-22% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +61%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.05.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
07.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
29.10.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-2 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
20.08.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 4-1 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
10.05.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
12.03.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 3-1 HT 2-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
0-3
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi cruised past Gagra 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gagra had 52% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 48%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gagra and 2.00 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Gagra 0-3 Torpedo Kutaisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gagra 20%, draw 25%, Torpedo Kutaisi 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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