Kolkheti 1913 Poti 2-6 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+9.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolkheti 1913 Poti EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 56%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.80/2.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.32
+68% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
251 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolkheti 1913 Poti
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Saburtalo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 Saburtalo 0-2 HT 0-2 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti GUR
06.04.2024 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti 1-2 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolkheti 1913 Poti
2-6
AWAY Saburtalo
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kolkheti 1913 Poti vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo swept aside Kolkheti 1913 Poti 6-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kolkheti 1913 Poti had 37% of the ball to Saburtalo's 63%, shots finished 9-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kolkheti 1913 Poti and 1.00 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Kolkheti 1913 Poti vs Saburtalo?

Kolkheti 1913 Poti 2-6 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolkheti 1913 Poti vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kolkheti 1913 Poti 32%, draw 23%, Saburtalo 44%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Over 2.5
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