Heerenveen vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heerenveen v Almere City — Team-Based Signals
Heerenveen vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Almere City
HOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Almere City
HAZ
Heerenveen 2-1 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics
Heerenveen squeezed past Almere City 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Heerenveen as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Heerenveen had 54% of the ball to Almere City's 46%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.27 to 0.93.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Heerenveen and 1.25 for Almere City.
What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Almere City?
Heerenveen 2-1 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heerenveen vs Almere City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 48%, draw 23%, Almere City 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.