Nojima Stella (K) 0-2 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
15%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.75/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.23
+86% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
28.04.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
0-2
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Nojima Stella (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka (K) got the better of Nojima Stella (K) 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Cerezo Osaka (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nojima Stella (K) had 57% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 43%, shots finished 19-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nojima Stella (K) and 2.00 for Cerezo Osaka (K).

What was the final score of Nojima Stella (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Nojima Stella (K) 0-2 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojima Stella (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nojima Stella (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nojima Stella (K) 39%, draw 31%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nojima Stella (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nojima Stella (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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