AS Elfen Saitama (K) 0-1 Omiya Ardija (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
3.17/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.97
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.09.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
31.03.2024 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
03.03.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
0-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija (K) nicked a narrow win over AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Omiya Ardija (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, AS Elfen Saitama (K) had 54% of the ball to Omiya Ardija (K)'s 46%, shots finished 5-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, AS Elfen Saitama (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AS Elfen Saitama (K) and 0.67 for Omiya Ardija (K).

What was the final score of AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

AS Elfen Saitama (K) 0-1 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Elfen Saitama (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AS Elfen Saitama (K) 39%, draw 31%, Omiya Ardija (K) 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AS Elfen Saitama (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Elfen Saitama (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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