Omiya Ardija (K) 1-2 AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 15 Sep 2024

Omiya Ardija (K)
1-2 HT 0-1
AS Elfen Saitama (K)
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2024/2025

Omiya Ardija (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+7.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Omiya Ardija (K) v AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.23/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.50
-75% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +66%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
293 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Omiya Ardija (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.03.2024 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
03.03.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL

Omiya Ardija (K) 1-2 AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
1-2
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Elfen Saitama (K) squeezed past Omiya Ardija (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Omiya Ardija (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Omiya Ardija (K) had 61% of the ball to AS Elfen Saitama (K)'s 39%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AS Elfen Saitama (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Omiya Ardija (K) and 2.00 for AS Elfen Saitama (K).

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Omiya Ardija (K) 1-2 AS Elfen Saitama (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija (K) 42%, draw 27%, AS Elfen Saitama (K) 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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