Newington Youth 3-2 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.89
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.44
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.76
6+ Goals
13%
7.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+6.4pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.4pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.5pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 30%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.56/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.00
+31% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Newry City AFC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
42% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.02.2025 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
19.10.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 3-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
03.02.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-1 HT 2-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRK
03.02.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-2 HT 1-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRK
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth squeezed past Newry City AFC 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newington Youth as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Newington Youth had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newington Youth and 1.25 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Newry City AFC?

Newington Youth 3-2 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 55%, draw 18%, Newry City AFC 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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