Dundela 1-0 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.38
No
44%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.29
2-3 Goals
36%
2.11
4-5 Goals
23%
2.43
6+ Goals
18%
4.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
33%
+6.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-4.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
33%
+7.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
67%
-7.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.5pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundela EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -10%
1.55/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.88
-8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundela
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ards FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.12.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-3 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
19.10.2024 Dundela Dundela 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
07.09.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
02.03.2024 Dundela Dundela 4-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
25.11.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
23.09.2023 Dundela Dundela 0-1 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Dundela vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundela squeezed past Ards FC 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 21% / 38%) promised a tight game; Dundela found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundela had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dundela and 1.00 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Dundela vs Ards FC?

Dundela 1-0 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundela vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundela win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dundela 40%, draw 21%, Ards FC 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundela) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundela) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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