Ards FC 1-3 Dundela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 31 Dec 2024

Ards FC
1-3
Dundela
📅31/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Ards FC vs Dundela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
9%
8.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.13 — our 24% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.1pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ards FC v Dundela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundela EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.38/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.69
-25% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Ards FC vs Dundela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dundela
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Dundela Dundela 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
07.09.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
02.03.2024 Dundela Dundela 4-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
25.11.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
23.09.2023 Dundela Dundela 0-1 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
29.04.2023 Dundela Dundela 2-4 HT 0-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Dundela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundela got the better of Ards FC 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Dundela made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ards FC and 1.33 for Dundela.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Dundela?

Ards FC 1-3 Dundela in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 31/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Dundela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 40%, draw 25%, Dundela 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ards FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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